Roulette Winning Strategies
Even if advanced life is rare in the Milky Way, that does not preclude an abundance of civilizations in other galaxies. An infinite universe would render even the slimmest chance for intelligence a reality somewhere else in space. Given enough room in the cosmos and enough time for intelligence to develop, the cosmic roulette wheel would be bound to hit the lucky number. It would be just like placing a million
One of the members of the Rogers inquiry was the celebrated physicist Richard Feynman, who judged the cavalier attitude of NASA and Thiokol as representing a kind of Russian roulette the Shuttle flies with O-ring erosion and nothing happens. Then it is suggested, therefore, that the risk is no longer so high for the next flights. We can lower our standards a little bit because we got away with it last time. You got away with it, but it shouldn't be done over and over again like that. Mike Mullane later referred to it, scornfully, as the normalisation of deviance . That deviance was still apparent, albeit in a different context, when Harold Gehman's investigative board explored the causes of the Columbia disaster 17 years later.
The particular implementation of the Sobolev method is the Monte Carlo technique, based largely on the formalism described primarily by L. Lucy in a series of papers (e.g., Lucy, 1999). The key innovation described in those papers we call the equal-energy packet (EEP) technique. In the EEP picture, individual photon trajectories are not simulated, but rather monochromatic photon packets of equal energy propagate through the model atmosphere. This paradigm obviates recursive trajectory calculations which make development and extension of transfer codes difficult. Of course, the scalability of the Monte Carlo technique is one of its greatest virtues. Provided the model atmosphere need not be split up across distributed nodes, communication proves almost nonexistent. Most importantly, this implementation micro-manages the energy conservation (flux divergence-less-ness) of the radiation field at all positions (or depths). Scattering is coherent in the comoving frame. Absorption and...
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